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April 2023

Economic & Market Update

Key Takeaway

Market resilience continues despite a less favorable environment for the U.S. economy going forward.

During April, the equity markets performed positively, with the Dow Jones, the Mexican Stock Exchange and the S&P 500 being the main winners; these indices posted gains of 2.48%, 2.26% and 1.46%, respectively. On the other hand, the performance of companies in the technology sector was marginally positive, increasing only 0.04% in the month, although we must emphasize that it is the sector with the highest accumulated performance for the year (16.82%).

Last week, the Federal Reserve decided to increase its benchmark rate by 25bp to bring it to a range of 5.00-5.25%. The market expects this to be the last increase to the federal funds rate due to recent data that has shown a loss of economic momentum, with job openings declining and tighter credit conditions caused by the regional banking crisis. And although the employment report again exceeded expectations, wage growth is moderating and trending downward.

Leaving monetary policy aside, U.S. GDP increased 1.1% at an annualized rate during the first quarter of the year, a figure that was released in the last week of April; and although growth was lower than expected, it should be noted that the downward bias was caused by the volatile fluctuations in inventories and the decline in the construction sector, and not by consumption, which presented a solid growth of 3.7%, which represents around 70% of the U.S. economy. Likewise, corporate reports for the first quarter exceeded analysts' low expectations, showing a 2.2% decrease in profits versus the 6.7% forecast.

Finally, while both economic and corporate data still show resilience, the Investment Group's committee agreed to reduce ~10% of its equity market exposure by exiting the Value and Small Cap sectors, in order to position itself more defensively for the slight recession we expect over the next 6-9 months.

Sources

Bloomberg Terminal, FactSet J.P. Morgan Asset Management - US Weekly Market Recap Vanguard - Economic And Market Update April 2023

Equities

Level
MTD
YTD
P/E
P/B
Yield Div.
S&P 500
4169.48
1.46
%
1.46
%
1.46
%
8.59
%
8.59
%
8.59
%
19.94
4.12
1.69
%
1.69
%
1.69
%
Dow Jones 30
34098.16
2.48
%
2.48
%
2.48
%
2.87
%
2.87
%
2.87
%
19.72
3.74
2.14
%
2.14
%
2.14
%
Nasdaq
12226.58
0.04
%
0.04
%
0.04
%
16.82
%
16.82
%
16.82
%
33.90
5.13
6.46
%
6.46
%
6.46
%
IPC
55121.22
2.26
%
2.26
%
2.26
%
13.74
%
13.74
%
13.74
%
16.60
2.19
3.48
%
3.48
%
3.48
%
ACWI
655.00
1.27
%
1.27
%
1.27
%
8.20
%
8.20
%
8.20
%
17.16
2.69
2.43
%
2.43
%
2.43
%
S&P 500
Level
4169.48
MTD
1.46
%
1.46
%
1.46
%
YTD
8.59
%
8.59
%
8.59
%
P/E
19.94
P/B
4.12
Yield Div.
1.69
%
1.69
%
1.69
%
Dow Jones 30
Level
34098.16
MTD
2.48
%
2.48
%
2.48
%
YTD
2.87
%
2.87
%
2.87
%
P/E
19.72
P/B
3.74
Yield Div.
2.14
%
2.14
%
2.14
%
Nasdaq
Level
12226.58
MTD
0.04
%
0.04
%
0.04
%
YTD
16.82
%
16.82
%
16.82
%
P/E
33.90
P/B
5.13
Yield Div.
6.46
%
6.46
%
6.46
%
IPC
Level
55121.22
MTD
2.26
%
2.26
%
2.26
%
YTD
13.74
%
13.74
%
13.74
%
P/E
16.60
P/B
2.19
Yield Div.
3.48
%
3.48
%
3.48
%
ACWI
Level
655.00
MTD
1.27
%
1.27
%
1.27
%
YTD
8.20
%
8.20
%
8.20
%
P/E
17.16
P/B
2.69
Yield Div.
2.43
%
2.43
%
2.43
%

Fixed Income

Level
MTD
YTD
US Aggregate
2122.20
0.61
%
0.61
%
0.61
%
3.59
%
3.59
%
3.59
%
US Corporate
3095.67
0.77
%
0.77
%
0.77
%
4.29
%
4.29
%
4.29
%
High Yield
2286.64
1
%
1
%
1.00
%
4.60
%
4.6
%
4.60
%
TIPS
340.42
0.11
%
0.11
%
0.11
%
3.45
%
3.45
%
3.45
%
US Aggregate
Level
2122.20
MTD
0.61
%
0.61
%
0.61
%
YTD
3.59
%
3.59
%
3.59
%
US Corporate
Level
3095.67
MTD
0.77
%
0.77
%
0.77
%
YTD
4.29
%
4.29
%
4.29
%
High Yield
Level
2286.64
MTD
1.00
%
1
%
1
%
YTD
4.60
%
4.6
%
4.60
%
TIPS
Level
340.42
MTD
0.11
%
0.11
%
0.11
%
YTD
3.45
%
3.45
%
3.45
%

Commodities

Level
MTD
YTD
Oil (WTI)
76.78
1.47
%
1.47
%
1.47
%
-4.34
%
-4.34
%
-4.34
%
Natural Gas
2.41
8.75
%
8.75
%
8.75
%
-46.15
%
-46.15
%
-46.15
%
Gold
1999.10
1.53
%
1.53
%
1.53
%
9.47
%
9.47
%
9.47
%
Copper
387.00
-5.48
%
-5.48
%
-5.48
%
1.56
%
1.56
%
1.56
%
Oil (WTI)
Level
76.78
MTD
1.47
%
1.47
%
1.47
%
YTD
-4.34
%
-4.34
%
-4.34
%
Natural Gas
Level
2.41
MTD
8.75
%
8.75
%
8.75
%
YTD
-46.15
%
-46.15
%
-46.15
%
Gold
Level
1999.10
MTD
1.53
%
1.53
%
1.53
%
YTD
9.47
%
9.47
%
9.47
%
Copper
Level
387.00
MTD
-5.48
%
-5.48
%
-5.48
%
YTD
1.56
%
1.56
%
1.56
%

Currency Exchange

Rate
YTD
USD.MXN
18.00
-7.69
%
-7.69
%
-7.69
%
EUR.MXN
19.84
-4.94
%
-4.94
%
-4.94
%
EUR.USD
1.10
2.93
%
2.93
%
2.93
%
GBP.USD
1.26
4.01
%
4.01
%
4.01
%
USD.MXN
Rate
18.00
YTD
-7.69
%
-7.69
%
-7.69
%
EUR.MXN
Rate
19.84
YTD
-4.94
%
-4.94
%
-4.94
%
EUR.USD
Rate
1.10
YTD
2.93
%
2.93
%
2.93
%
GBP.USD
Rate
1.26
YTD
4.01
%
4.01
%
4.01
%

S&P500 Industry Classification (YTD %)